A Little Prognosticating on Election Day

November 4, 2008

Several of you have asked me for my take on politics, and while I won’t get into any specifics about the candidates or their widely publicized policies on taxes, health care, defense, etc., I will throw in my two cents on how each leader might affect telecom.

First of all, I don’t see telecom high on either candidate’s priority list as a core, burning issue given that they’ve got bigger fish to fry with the global financial problems and growing deficits in bailing out the bad characters (who should be going to prison).  I would not expect anything of note to emerge until after the 2010 mid-term elections.  I do see both parties finally figuring out that we are woefully behind in real broadband globally and that DSL, T1, DOCSIS and copper loops belong in the Smithsonian.

And what of the FCC leadership? No matter who wins the Office of President, there will be a transition period.  I don’t see a substantive change until June/July 2009.  If I were handicapping the next Chairperson, for the Republicans I would suggest Maureen McLaughlin and for the Democrats Julius Genachowski.  McLaughlin because she is not controversial and would have an easier go of an appointment approval dominated by the Democratic Party.  Genachowski, a friend of Reed Hundt and law school pal of Obama is my other guess.

Whom I can assure you neither party would appoint as FCC Commissioner is yours truly.  I have no party affinity and view telecom on a basis solely as what is good and needed for America in a global teleconomy. I am too pragmatic to work inside the Beltway.

Is Dave right on the money or do you think Dave’s out to lunch? Send your predictions and comments his way.

Written by Dave Rusin - Telecom Executive
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